Notice bibliographique
- Notice
Type(s) de contenu et mode(s) de consultation : Texte noté : sans médiation
Auteur(s) : McGrayne, Sharon Bertsch (1942-....)
Titre(s) : The theory that would not die [Texte imprimé] : how Bayes' rule cracked the enigma code, hunted down Russian submarines, & emerged triumphant from two centuries of controversy / Sharon Bertsch McGrayne
Publication : New Haven : Yale university press, cop. 2011
Description matérielle : 1 vol. (XIII-320 p.) : ill. ; 25 cm
Comprend : pt. 1. Enlightenment and the anti-Bayesian reaction ; Causes in the air ; The man
who did everything ; Many doubts, few defenders ; pt. 2. Second World War era ;
Bayes goes to war ; Dead and buried again ; pt. 3. The glorious revival ; Arthur
Bailey ; From tool to theology ; Jerome Cornfield, lung cancer, and heart attacks
; There's always a first time ; 46,656 varieties ; pt. 4. To prove its worth ;
Business decisions ; Who wrote The Federalist? ; The cold warrior ; Three Mile
Island ; The Navy searches ; pt. 5. Victory ; Eureka! ; Rosetta stones ; Appendixes
; Dr. Fisher's casebook ; Applying Baye's Rule to mammograms and breast cancer.
Note(s) : Bibliogr. p. 275-306
"Bayes' rule appears to be a straightforward, one-line theorem: by updating our initial
beliefs with objective new information, we get a new and improved belief. To its adherents,
it is an elegant statement about learning from experience. To its opponents, it is
subjectivity run amok. In the first-ever account of Bayes' rule for general readers,
Sharon Bertsch McGrayne explores this controversial theorem and the human obsessions
surrounding it. She traces its discovery by an amateur mathematician in the 1740s
through its development into roughly its modern form by French scientist Pierre Simon
Laplace. She reveals why respected statisticians rendered it professionally taboo
for 150 years--at the same time that practitioners relied on it to solve crises involving
great uncertainty and scanty information, even breaking Germany's Enigma code during
World War II, and explains how the advent of off-the-shelf computer technology in
the 1980s proved to be a game-changer. Today, Bayes' rule is used everywhere from
DNA de-coding to Homeland Security. Drawing on primary source material and interviews
with statisticians and other scientists, The Theory That Would Not Die is the riveting
account of how a seemingly simple theorem ignited one of the greatest controversies
of all time."--
Sujet(s) : Statistique bayésienne -- Histoire
Indice(s) Dewey :
519.542 (23e éd.) = Théorie de la décision (statistique mathématique)
Identifiants, prix et caractéristiques : ISBN 9780300169690. - ISBN 0300169698 (rel.). - ISBN 9780300188226. - ISBN 0300188226
(br.)
Identifiant de la notice : ark:/12148/cb43600838t
Notice n° :
FRBNF43600838
(notice reprise d'un réservoir extérieur)
